42 research outputs found
Are Opinions Based on Science: Modelling Social Response to Scientific Facts
As scientists we like to think that modern societies and their members base
their views, opinions and behaviour on scientific facts. This is not
necessarily the case, even though we are all (over-) exposed to information
flow through various channels of media, i.e. newspapers, television, radio,
internet, and web. It is thought that this is mainly due to the conflicting
information on the mass media and to the individual attitude (formed by
cultural, educational and environmental factors), that is, one external factor
and another personal factor. In this paper we will investigate the dynamical
development of opinion in a small population of agents by means of a
computational model of opinion formation in a co-evolving network of socially
linked agents. The personal and external factors are taken into account by
assigning an individual attitude parameter to each agent, and by subjecting all
to an external but homogeneous field to simulate the effect of the media. We
then adjust the field strength in the model by using actual data on scientific
perception surveys carried out in two different populations, which allow us to
compare two different societies. We interpret the model findings with the aid
of simple mean field calculations. Our results suggest that scientifically
sound concepts are more difficult to acquire than concepts not validated by
science, since opposing individuals organize themselves in close communities
that prevent opinion consensus.Comment: 21 pages, 5 figures. Submitted to PLoS ON
Time-Varying Priority Queuing Models for Human Dynamics
Queuing models provide insight into the temporal inhomogeneity of human
dynamics, characterized by the broad distribution of waiting times of
individuals performing tasks. We study the queuing model of an agent trying to
execute a task of interest, the priority of which may vary with time due to the
agent's "state of mind." However, its execution is disrupted by other tasks of
random priorities. By considering the priority of the task of interest either
decreasing or increasing algebraically in time, we analytically obtain and
numerically confirm the bimodal and unimodal waiting time distributions with
power-law decaying tails, respectively. These results are also compared to the
updating time distribution of papers in the arXiv.org and the processing time
distribution of papers in Physical Review journals. Our analysis helps to
understand human task execution in a more realistic scenario.Comment: 8 pages, 6 figure
Opinion and community formation in coevolving networks
In human societies opinion formation is mediated by social interactions,
consequently taking place on a network of relationships and at the same time
influencing the structure of the network and its evolution. To investigate this
coevolution of opinions and social interaction structure we develop a dynamic
agent-based network model, by taking into account short range interactions like
discussions between individuals, long range interactions like a sense for
overall mood modulated by the attitudes of individuals, and external field
corresponding to outside influence. Moreover, individual biases can be
naturally taken into account. In addition the model includes the opinion
dependent link-rewiring scheme to describe network topology coevolution with a
slower time scale than that of the opinion formation. With this model
comprehensive numerical simulations and mean field calculations have been
carried out and they show the importance of the separation between fast and
slow time scales resulting in the network to organize as well-connected small
communities of agents with the same opinion.Comment: 10 pages, 5 figures. New inset for Fig. 1 and references added.
Submitted to Physical Review
Multiscale Analysis of Spreading in a Large Communication Network
In temporal networks, both the topology of the underlying network and the
timings of interaction events can be crucial in determining how some dynamic
process mediated by the network unfolds. We have explored the limiting case of
the speed of spreading in the SI model, set up such that an event between an
infectious and susceptible individual always transmits the infection. The speed
of this process sets an upper bound for the speed of any dynamic process that
is mediated through the interaction events of the network. With the help of
temporal networks derived from large scale time-stamped data on mobile phone
calls, we extend earlier results that point out the slowing-down effects of
burstiness and temporal inhomogeneities. In such networks, links are not
permanently active, but dynamic processes are mediated by recurrent events
taking place on the links at specific points in time. We perform a multi-scale
analysis and pinpoint the importance of the timings of event sequences on
individual links, their correlations with neighboring sequences, and the
temporal pathways taken by the network-scale spreading process. This is
achieved by studying empirically and analytically different characteristic
relay times of links, relevant to the respective scales, and a set of temporal
reference models that allow for removing selected time-domain correlations one
by one
Circadian pattern and burstiness in mobile phone communication
The temporal communication patterns of human individuals are known to be
inhomogeneous or bursty, which is reflected as the heavy tail behavior in the
inter-event time distribution. As the cause of such bursty behavior two main
mechanisms have been suggested: a) Inhomogeneities due to the circadian and
weekly activity patterns and b) inhomogeneities rooted in human task execution
behavior. Here we investigate the roles of these mechanisms by developing and
then applying systematic de-seasoning methods to remove the circadian and
weekly patterns from the time-series of mobile phone communication events of
individuals. We find that the heavy tails in the inter-event time distributions
remain robustly with respect to this procedure, which clearly indicates that
the human task execution based mechanism is a possible cause for the remaining
burstiness in temporal mobile phone communication patterns.Comment: 17 pages, 12 figure